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Fitch Shifts Global Auto Outlook to 'Deteriorating' Amid Rising US Tariffs and Market Uncertainties

Global Automotive Sector Faces Downgrade

Fitch Ratings has adjusted its outlook for the 2025 global automotive sector from "neutral" to "deteriorating", a move prompted by recent US tariffs on imported vehicles. The decision, announced on Wednesday, highlights concerns over potential production cuts and escalating costs that could adversely affect profitability and free cash flow margins in the short term.

Impact on US and Chinese Markets

The agency pointed out that the previously stable positions of the US and Chinese automotive markets are now under threat. Weakening consumer demand, fueled by tariff-induced uncertainties and possible price increases, is to blame. Fitch anticipates that both automakers and suppliers will have to bear the brunt of these higher tariffs.

Broader Sector Revisions

Following the Trump administration's aggressive tariff policies, Fitch has also revisited outlooks for several other sectors, including energy, banking, and global trade relations with China. These revisions reflect the far-reaching implications of current trade policies on global markets.