Business

Is India Losing Its Safe Haven Status? CLSA Predicts Shift in Foreign Investment Flows Back to China

India's Defensive Investment Appeal Wanes

According to CLSA's recent India Strategy report, India's status as a defensive investment during times of global uncertainty is diminishing. This change is attributed to reduced trade tensions between the United States and China, along with improving diplomatic relations in the region.

India’s status as a defensive bet waning? CLSA says foreign flows may head back to China stocks

Global Risk Sentiment Improves

The improvement in global risk sentiment follows decreased tensions in South Asia and progress in US-China trade discussions. A recent agreement saw both nations reducing reciprocal tariffs, with the US cutting duties on Chinese imports and China lowering tariffs on US products, alongside removing restrictions on rare earth minerals and magnets exports.

Market Reactions and CLSA's Adjustments

Indian stock market indices saw a decline after a significant rally, influenced by the India-Pakistan ceasefire agreement. CLSA has revised its stance on the Indian IT sector to "overweight" and adjusted its model portfolio, highlighting Infosys's advantageous position for capitalizing on increased US technology spending.

Positive Sectors and Cautions

CLSA expresses optimism towards consumer staples, utilities, real estate, banks, and energy sectors, while maintaining caution regarding industrials, materials, healthcare, and discretionary sectors.