Business

India's Economy Holds Steady in FY26 Amid Credit Slowdown and Global Tariff Uncertainties

India's Economic Stability in FY26

India's economy is showing signs of stability as it moves into the second quarter of FY26, bolstered by strong domestic supply and demand. Despite facing challenges like sluggish credit growth and global uncertainties, the finance ministry's latest monthly economic review paints a cautiously optimistic picture.

Economy outlook: Finance ministry pegs FY26 as ‘steady as she goes’; credit slowdown, tariff risks in focus

Challenges and Opportunities

The report highlights inflation staying within the Reserve Bank's target range and a promising monsoon season as positive indicators. However, it also points out potential hurdles such as a global economic slowdown, particularly in the US, and uncertainties surrounding tariffs that could affect India's trade performance.

Credit Growth and Investment

Despite monetary easing and robust bank balance sheets, credit growth has slowed, reflecting cautious sentiments among borrowers and lenders alike. The ministry emphasizes the importance of leveraging government initiatives like the Employment Linked Incentive (ELI) scheme to stimulate job creation and investment in manufacturing.

Sectoral Growth and Outlook

High-frequency indicators reveal broad-based year-on-year growth across sectors, with services leading the charge. Agriculture is also on an upward trajectory, thanks to favorable monsoon conditions and adequate resources, which are expected to boost rural incomes and consumption.

With projections placing India among the fastest-growing major economies, the finance ministry remains confident in the country's economic resilience and growth potential in FY26.