Business

IMF Boosts India's Growth Forecast to 6.4% for 2025 & 2026, Solidifying Its Lead as the Fastest-Growing Major Economy

India's Economic Growth Surges Ahead

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has updated its economic growth forecast for India, projecting a 6.4% growth rate for both 2025 and 2026. This revision up from the previous estimates of 6.2% and 6.3% respectively, underscores India's position as the world's fastest-growing major economy.

India world’s fastest-growing major economy: IMF upgrades 2025 & 2026 growth forecast to 6.4%; global growth lifted to 3.1% in 2026

Global Economic Outlook Brightens

The IMF also slightly raised its global growth projections to 3.0% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026. This optimistic adjustment is attributed to several factors including the lesser-than-anticipated impact of tariffs, a weaker US dollar, and improved financial conditions worldwide.

Comparative Growth Rates

In contrast to India's robust growth, China is expected to grow at 4.8% in 2025 and 4.2% in 2026, while the US economy is forecasted to expand by 1.9% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026, benefiting temporarily from fiscal stimulus measures.

Risks and Recommendations

Despite the positive outlook, the IMF cautions that risks remain skewed to the downside, highlighting potential challenges from trade tensions and fiscal uncertainties. The agency advocates for policies that foster confidence, predictability, and sustainability to safeguard economic stability.