Economy

OPEC Holds Steady: Global Oil Demand Growth Forecast Remains at 1.3 Million Barrels Per Day

OPEC's July Report Highlights Steady Oil Demand Growth

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again projected a global oil demand increase of 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) in its latest monthly report, maintaining the same forecast as in May and June. This consistency underscores the organization's confidence in the current trajectory of oil consumption worldwide.

Breaking Down the Numbers

Within the OECD, oil demand is expected to rise by 100,000 bpd, while non-OECD countries are anticipated to account for the lion's share of growth, with an increase of 1.2 million bpd. This disparity highlights the varying energy needs and economic activities across different regions.

Looking Ahead to 2026

OPEC's report also casts its gaze into the future, predicting that 2026 will mirror 2025's demand growth, with global oil needs climbing by another 1.3 million bpd. The breakdown between OECD and non-OECD countries remains consistent, further emphasizing the ongoing shift in energy consumption patterns.

Driving Forces Behind the Demand

The demand surge is primarily fueled by the transportation sector, with gasoline, jet kerosene, and residual fuel leading the charge. This trend reflects the global economy's reliance on oil for mobility and logistics, even as alternative energy sources gain traction.